NASS 2027: Bassey, Ironbar, Ambrose-Amawhe, Duke, Effiong Eye Bakassi, Akpabuyo And Calabar South Rep Seat

Anthony EKPO BASSEY

The race for the Akpabuyo, Bakassi, and Calabar South Federal Constituency in Cross River State is shaping up to be one of the most competitive and intriguing contests in the South senatorial district. With a mix of seasoned politicians, technocrats, and recent political entrants, the dynamics of this election will likely hinge on a combination of incumbency, party strength, grassroots mobilisation and public perception. Among the likely key contenders are Joseph Bassey (a k.a Papa), Emana Ambrose-Amawhe, Emmanuel Ironbar, Effiom Bassey Effiong and Orok Duke. Each of these aspirants shall bring unique strength to the race, but will also face specific challenges that could determine their chances at the polls.

JOSEPH BASSEY

Joseph Bassey, the current representative of the constituency, enjoys the natural advantage of incumbency. He was in the House of Assembly for about eight years and was a Deputy Speaker before proceeding to the Lower Legislative Chamber in National Assembly, Abuja in 2023. He has grassroots appeal and always at home with his constituents. No wonder he is called "Calabar boy" by his followers.

As a sitting lawmaker and a member of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), Bassey has access to constituency projects, visibility, and a network of political allies. His recent electoral success in 2023, where he won under the APC platform, suggests that he has a strong support base and understands the political terrain of the constituency.

 However, incumbency can also carry liabilities. If constituents feel underwhelmed by his performance or disconnected from his representation, he could face backlash from a population eager for change. Nevertheless, barring a major political upset or internal party betrayal, Bassey remains a frontrunner in the contest.

EMANA AMBROSE-AMAWHE

Emana Ambrose-Amawhe represents a different kind of political force. A former broadcast journalist who served as the deputy governorship candidate for the PDP in 2023, Emana has transitioned into politics with increasing influence. Her recent defection from the PDP to the APC has reshaped her political narrative. While some may see her switch as opportunistic, it could also be a strategic move to align with the state’s current power structure. Her seemingly high-profile endorsement by the governor and a growing public presence bolstered by awards and media appearances, have elevated her standing. Yet, challenges persist.

 Switching parties could alienate loyal PDP supporters who see her as abandoning the cause when it mattered most, and she must work hard to build trust in her new political home. Her chances will depend significantly on whether she can translate her media image and elite connections into grassroots votes. Also, she is seen as an elitist kind of politician. She must change this perception of the people about her and try to socialise with the grass-root voters at markets, motor-parks, and at town hall meetings in the respective local government areas that make up this federal constituency.

EMMANUEL IRONBAR

Emmanuel Ironbar, the current Chief of Staff to the Cross River State Governor, is another powerful figure said to be eying the Rep Seat in 2027. His presence in the race will be intimidating to other candidates considering his deep-pockets, connections and influence. With close proximity to the executive arm of government, Ironbar has access to resources and visibility. As someone already involved in shaping state policy and political strategy, he presents himself as an experienced hand with the capacity to deliver.

 However, his greatest challenge lies in converting bureaucratic power into electoral strength. Constituents may view him as part of the establishment, and without a strong history of direct grassroots engagement in the area, he risks being perceived as detached. Still, with strong backing from the governor and effective messaging, he could present a serious threat to both the incumbent and other challengers.

OROK DUKE

Orok Duke, a well-known figure in Cross River State politics, brings a wealth of experience to the contest. His past roles, ranging from a prominent member of the State House of Assembly, to a key board member in the Niger Delta Development Commission (NDDC), have given him exposure and a track record in public service. Duke is known for his developmental advocacy and has repeatedly emphasised the importance of grassroots politics. He may appeal to voters looking for a competent and steady hand.

However, despite his achievements, his name may not carry the same weight among younger voters or those unfamiliar with his earlier political work. His success in this race will depend on his ability to reconnect with the electorate and present himself as a relevant and transformative option in today’s political climate.

EFFIOM BASSEY EFFIONG

Effiom Bassey Effiong, current Chairman of Akpabuyo LGA, will most likely emerge as a serious contender for the House of Representatives seat in 2027. He is seen as one of the performing local government chairmen, a perception that further boosts his public image. Besides, he is also seen as one who enjoys the goodwill and grace of the Governor.

However, Effiong has a significant hurdle before him. He may have to go up against the current representative, Rt. Hon. Joseph Bassey, in the APC primaries, a contest that could be tough given Bassey’s incumbency and influence. Effiong also needs to expand his reach beyond Akpabuyo. Winning the federal seat will require strong support from Bakassi and Calabar South, where he currently has less visibility.

No doubt, Effiong has a solid foundation and growing support, but to win in 2027, he must overcome party hurdles, broaden his appeal across the entire constituency, and run a well-organised and inclusive campaign.

Conclusion

In sum, the race for the Akpabuyo/Bakassi/Calabar South Federal Constituency is set to be a battle between establishment power, grassroots appeal, and evolving political identities. Joseph Bassey, as the incumbent, remains the candidate to beat, leveraging his position and experience. Emana Ambrose-Amawhe could emerge as a surprise frontrunner if she successfully capitalises on her recent defection and high-profile endorsements, and makes efforts to associate with the grassroot voters. 

Emmanuel Ironbar has an institutional influence but need to overcome current public perception challenges.

 Effiom Bassey is grounded in his local government area but needs to expand his reach and be deeply entrenched in the scheme of things at Bakassi and Calabar South. While Orok Duke brings a mix of experience and grassroots focus that could make him a strong contender in a fragmented field, he needs to identify and associate with the youths and let them be convinced that he still has the strength and vigour to succeed in the race.

Ultimately, the outcome will be determined not only by individual strengths, but also by the ability of each candidate to secure their party’s ticket, build coalitions, and reconnect with the everyday voter. 

The race remains wide open, and as events unfold, alliances shift, and the electorate weighs its options, any of these candidates could find themselves in pole position.